Here is a really interesting article from stratfor. In a nutshell, the American intelligence community (IC) is terribly short-sighted. Due to it's sheer size, any original thinking or bold predictions gets shunted aside. What it does do well is the day-to-day stuff, the mundane, the ordinary, the routine. Events like 9/11 or Saddam's (non-existent) WMD's take them by complete surprise. Jesus said that when He comes (for His church), it will be like a 'thief in the night'. In other words, Jesus will achieve perfect tactical and strategic surprise when He comes for His bride. You better believe that the IC, even with all it's technology and experience, will not see it coming until it is too late. "For when you see all these signs look up! Your redemption draweth nigh!"
Mr. Johnny Cash